Favorite dumplings in #NYC (at Vanessa’s Dumpling House)
10th Ave NYC from the Highline
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Team Thrust at the Quik pro finals via heli. Photo by T Cuddy. Tylercuddy.com/QUIK
Perfect shot of how awesome the Quiksilver Pro New York was. A jam packed National Blvd in Long Beach watching the world’s best surfers compete with the NYC skyline in the background.
NYC Westside Sunset. September 15th, 2011
Last week, as Hurricane Katia churned off the coast, I flew up to New York to catch some surf and check out the Quiksilver Pro New York. The biggest surf contest of all time was being held right at home, and I couldn’t miss it. Katia provided us with some fun waves, and proved to be a great playing field for the world’s top 32 to throw down…. Kelly Slater, getting some cover right outside of NYC.
If you live anywhere on the coastline from North Carolina to Rhode Island you should read the below regarding the impacts Hurricane Irene may have on you this weekend. Irene is a very large storm and is capable of causing some serious damage all over.
Track forecast for Irene
The models have edged their tracks westwards in the last cycle of runs, and there are no longer any models suggesting that Irene will miss hitting the U.S. The threat to eastern North Carolina has increased, with several of our top models now suggesting a landfall slightly west of the Outer Banks is likely, near Morehead City. After making landfall on the North Carolina coast Saturday afternoon or evening, Irene is likely to continue almost due north, bringing hurricane conditions to the entire mid-Atlantic coast, from North Carolina to Long Island, New York. This makes for a difficult forecast, since a slight change in Irene’s track will make a huge difference in where hurricane conditions will be felt. If Irene stays inland over eastern North Carolina, like the ECMWF and GFDL models are predicting, this will knock down the storm’s strength enough so that it may no longer be a hurricane once it reaches New Jersey. On the other hand, if Irene grazes the Outer Banks and continues northwards into New Jersey, like the GFS model is predicting, this could easily be a Category 2 hurricane for New Jersey and Category 1 hurricane for New York City. A more easterly track into Long Island would likely mean a Category 2 landfall there.
Category 2 landfalls may not sound that significant, since Hurricane Bob of 1991 made landfall over Rhode Island as a Category 2, and did only $1.5 billion in damage (1991 dollars), killing 17. But Irene is a far larger and more dangerous storm than Bob. The latest wind analysis from NOAA/HRD puts Irene’s storm surge danger at 4.8 on a scale of 0 to 6, equivalent to a borderline Category 3 or 4 hurricane’s storm surge. Bob had a much lower surge potential, due to its smaller size, and the fact it was moving at 32 mph when it hit land. Irene will be moving much slower, near 18 mph, which will give it more time to pile up a big storm surge. The slower motion also means Irene’s surge will last longer, and be more likely to be around during high tide. Sunday is a new moon, and tides will be at their highest levels of the month during Sunday night’s high tide cycle. Tides at The Battery in New York City (Figure 3) will be a full foot higher than they were during the middle of August. Irene will expand in size as it heads north, and we should expect its storm surge to be one full Saffir-Simpson Category higher than the winds would suggest.